4. Forecast Applications

Winter Weather » Precipitation Type 12-hour Forecast valid 0000 UTC Day 3 (Hour 48)

Hypothetical sounding for precipitation type forecasting exercise, step 5

The model forecast sounding for 0000 UTC on Day 3 shows further erosion of the cold air near the surface, as winds veer to SE at low levels.

Task 4: Analyze this model forecast sounding to forecast what type of precipitation will be occurring 12 hours later (0000 UTC on Day 3). (To assist with this question and others that follow, you can open the Interactive Skew-T with this sounding).

Which of the following factors would you expect to be most important to aid forecasting the type of precipitation for 0000 UTC on Day 3?
(Choose all that apply, then click Done.)