Some Opportunities in
Dynamic Extended Range Forecasting
Eugenia Kalnay, Ming Cai, and
Malaquias Pena
University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742
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Consistence of the
dynamical rule with the lag/lead correlation
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Summary
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Some opportunities for
DERF
· Understand the feedbacks
between the ocean and the atmosphere that make coupled anomalies last
longer
· Develop better strategies for
coupling in the week to intraseasonal range: AMIP runs are not “the best
possible results”
· Exploit the
regularity of the Madden-Julian Oscillations to increase skill of intraseasonal
predictions
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